Trade Bait: Padres get Ludwick in Three-Way Deal

July 31, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres, and the Cleveland Indians entered into an interesting 3-way deal on deadline day.  The Padres in need of offense, picked up Ryan Ludwick, the Cardinals pulled in Jake Westbrook and a Padres prospect, and the Indians received one of the Padres pitching prospects.

Ludwick, 32, is hitting .281 with 11 home runs and 43 RBI on the season, but he is clobbering right-handed pitching this season (yes, completely opposite of convential splits).  If teamed with a decent right-handed bat, the Padres would have a near All-Star production caliber platoon.  He’ll likely get most of the playing time except for all but the tough lefties, letting Chris Denorfia sub in occationally.  It’s a pretty good addition to the lackluster Padres lineup and to their clubhouse.

Veteran Jake Westbrook has been slowly coming back from Tommy John surgery this season.  His ERA is the highest he’s had since 2002, but his WHIP is almost idential to his career average.  He’ll slot into the fourth spot in the rotation and should eat innings well for the Cards.  Pitching under Dave Duncan’s watchful eye should help him as well.  Veteran pitchers like Westbrook have thrived under his tutiledge.

The Cardinals also receive pitching prospect Nick Greenwood in the deal.  The lefty saw success his first season in the minors in 2009, but has struggled in A-ball this season.  An eventual switch to the pen and concentration on only two pitches may help his track to the majors more likely.

The hot-hitting Jon Jay will take most of Ludwick’s at-bats for the rest of the season.  He’s been a nice surprise for the Cardinals this season, providing the team a wealth of outfielders that they felt they could deal from to get better. b Ludwick was also going to get more expensive in arbitration after the season.  With the team trying to save money were it can to attempt to sign Albert Pujols to an extention, dealing Ludwick was inevitable at one point or another.

The Indians meanwhile have shed Westbrook’s payroll and take in Padres pitching prospect Corey Kluber.  The 24-year-old Kluber is having a good season in Double-A, leading the league in strikeouts, posting an impressive 10.0 K/9 rate overall.  He has a four-pitch mix that some say could lead him to stay in the rotation, but he may excel out of the pen.

At first glance, it looks as if the Padres have come out ahead in this deal, but we’ll have to see what Dave Duncan can do with Westbrook as we head towards the playoffs.  If he can make Jeff Suppan and Jeff Weaver look good, Westbrook could turn into a nice find for them.

Trade Bait: Pirates’ and D’Backs’ Head Scratcher

July 31, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Pittsburgh Pirates have entered into a trade that is a bit of a head scratcher.  The Diamondbacks will send catcher Chris Snyder, shortstop prospect Pedro Ciriaco and $3 million the Pirates for Bobby Crosby, Ryan Church and D.J. Carrasco.  Two teams with the lowest winning percentages in the NL have hooked up in a deal that makes one raise an eyebrow.

Previous Diamondbacks GM Josh Byrnes signed Snyder to a $14.25 million contract after the 2008 season and he has failed to meet expectations ever since.  But if you compare his 2008 stats to his current stats as a back up, they aren’t too far off.  Defensively he has regressed though as he has dropped from a caught stealing rate of 31% in 2008 to 20% this season.  Snyder has a little over $8 million remaining in his deal if his 2012 option is declined, but that will be offset a little by the $3 million that the D’Backs will hand over in the deal.

Pedro Ciriaco is a light-hitting shortstop at Triple-A.  He has good defense and speed, stealing 40 and 38 bases in 2008 and 2009 respectively.  But he also carries an ugly walk rate that will keep him from succeeding as a regular in the majors.  Pedro could become a decent utility infielder if his walk rate improves a little.

Carrasco, Church, and Crosby were all cheap signings by the Pirates, but only Carrasco has fared well.  The beleaguered Arizona pen needs Carrasco so Arizona will likely keep him around.  Crosby and Church should be released before they put on a Diamondback uniform, but the team will likely see if they can get them to hit first.  Good luck.

The Diamondbacks dump salary for next season, but that’s about all they get out of this deal.  I’m not really sure what the Pirates get out of this.  They haven’t been too happy with Doumit in recent history so they may deal him this winter and give Snyder the starting job.  They’ve also been in love with light-hitting middle infielders, so why not add another?

Trade Bait: Yankees snag Berkman

July 31, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The New York Yankees have been on the look out for an extra bat recently to ensure they have enough offense to pull away from the Tampa Bay Rays.  They found a suitable bat in longtime Astro Lance Berkman.  On Friday the Yankees snagged Berkman in exchange for two minor leaguers.

Berkman has had a very inconsistent season that makes one wonder if his knee is still bothering him or his age is catching up with him.  His July statistics have been the most interesting of his season.  This month he has hit .233/.404/.521 in73 at bats.  Although the batting average makes you cringe, the OBP and the SLG (6 HR) makes your eyes pop.  However, Yankees should not celebrate too early as Lance will probably not be pitched around as much in New York and he has had a .179/.385/.282 line since the break.

In the trade, the Astros will pay the Yankees $4 million of what’s left of what is owed to Berkman.  In return for Berkman and cash, the Astros will receive minor leaguers Mark Melancon and Jimmy Paredes.

Melancon is a righty reliever that has enjoyed sub-1.00 WHIPs throughout much of his minor league career.  But this season he’s been rocked to a 1.67 WHIP.  Both his hit and walk rates have made major jumps.  His walk rate is over twice his previous career high.  But John Sickels ranked him as the team’s 6th overall prospect heading into the season, but he didn’t rank in Baseball America’s top ten.

Paredes is a switch-hitting utility infielder that has a very light power tower and poor walk rate.  He’s posting a .282/.312/.408.  He ranked outside of Sickels’ rankings in the “Others” area.  Sean over at Yankees Daily profiled Paredes, noting his strong arm and soft hands.  The Astros may be able to mold this raw infielder into something usable, but GM Ed Wade may be expecting too much from his minor league staff.

Unlike with Oswalt, it looks as if the Yankees will be picking up what is remaining on his contract.  But they now have a veteran switch-hitting DH with power and the approximate $6 million is just a drop in the bucket to the Yanks.  The rich just keep getting better without hesitation of the financial impacts. 

But it is the Astros that are the story of this trade.  They have just traded their two storied names since Bagwell and Biggio for very little.  Although there were extenuating circumstances that have hurt the trade value of Berkman and Oswalt, it is sad that the Astros have fallen so far and are unable to rebuild their relatively pathetic farm system through the trades.

Trade Bait: Guzman to Texas

July 31, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

Washington Nationals GM Mike Rizzo continues to clean out the dead weight left for him from prior GM Jim Bowden.  The latest piece, Cristian Guzman, was given an above market rate contract following a resurgent season in 2008.  He has since fallen off offensively and defensively.  But the Jon Daniels and the Texas Rangers have been agressive this season as they have a legitimate chance at making the playoffs in the AL West.  With Ian Kinsler going on the DL recently, Daniels had to find a temporary replacement.  He found it in Guzman.

The Nationals have worked with what they were given by utilizing Guzman around the diamond as a super-utility player, this may have actually improved his trade value as other teams have seen him adjust to other positions.  Once Kinsler returns, Daniels and Manager Ron Washington have the flexibility of a veteran utility player off the bench.  It’ll be a nice asset to have to rest their players down the stretch and it gives Washington more options in the playoffs.

The Nationals are sending $2 million in the deal in order to receive a little better prospects in the deal.  With a deep farm system, Daniels has the flexibility to give up some of his lesser prospects to offset the lack of payroll space that he has to deal with.

The first player that Rizzo has received is righty Ryan Tatusko.  Tatsuko is currently pitching at Double-A where is is enjoying the best ERA of his career, mainly due to a drop in his hit rate and a 0.5 drop in his HR/9.  But the strikeouts are the lowest in his career and his walk rate has also increased.  Trip Somers of TexasLeaguers.com provides a good profile on Tatusko, including a video to watch.  Here’s a brief excerpt:

“Tatusko features a low-90s fastball that might cut, sink, tail, or even be a little too straight. He calls his breaking pitch a slurve, but when I saw it, it looked like a good, hard curve ball.”

Considering his mainly two pitch repitoire and how he seemed to fare better in the bullpen while warming up, Tatusko might be a better fit in a major league bullpen.

The second pitcher, Tanner Roark, is another righty that has been mediocre as a starter in the minors.  He has a 88-92 mph heater, a curve, and an iffy change-up.  Some are projecting him as a back of the rotation starter or a spot starter.  However, he has excelled out of the pen when put there.  In 2009 the Rangers had him in the pen at Bakersfield and Frisco where he had a 2.70 FIP, a 9.97 K/9 (up 2.55 from his rate as a starter), and a much lower HR/9.

Although neither pitcher looks like a starter in the long term, it looks as though at least one of them might become a decent reliever out of the pen.  This trade looks good for both sides.  Guzman provides a cheap temporary patch for second base until Kinsler returns, and a veteran bat off the bench afterwards.  While Rizzo might actually get value for a player that would likely have been a salary dump otherwise.

Trade Bait: Capps to Close In Minnesota

July 30, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

It looks as though the Minnesota Twins are desperate to challenge the White Sox for the AL Central crown.  Last night they acquired Washington Nationals closer Matt Capps in exchange for catcher Wilson Ramos and lefty prospect Joe Testa.

Capps has enjoyed a decent year closing for the Nationals after falling off the pitching wagon for the Pirates.  In 2009 he posted a 5.80 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP, but the rebound has his ERA down to 2.74.  He will immediately take over closing duties for the Twins, pushing Jon Rauch back to a setup spot.  His 1.30 WHIP this season isn’t what you’d expect out of a closer, but he’s countered the ugly amount of hits he’s given up (51 in 46.0IP) with a decent walk rate.  Hopefully, a better defensive infield in Minnesota will help cut down on his hits a little.

Wilson Ramos has been talked about heavily as a trade chip ever since he broke out offensively last season to the tune of .317/.341/.454.  But he’s struggled some this season, hitting .241/.280/.345 for Triple-A Rochester.  Although all the blogs have been drooling over him, I haven’t been AS high on the young catcher.  He needs to improve his plate discipline to be a viable starting catcher in the majors.

Joe Testa is a lefty reliever who’s stats have been all over the place.  Although he’s moved up mid-season each year since he started professional baseball, Joe hasn’t made it past Double-A and has really struggled this season.  He did have very good strikeout rates and a decent WHIP last season though and the Nationals may be taking a flier on him in the hopes of getting him back on track.

Although I don’t like this trade as much as other analysts who drool over Ramos, this is a pretty good deal by Nationals GM Mike Rizzo.  Not only did he get 26 saves out of a pitcher many thought was washed up, he sold high on Capps and received a couple decent upside guys as well.  The Twins improve their bullpen marginally, but the Nationals win this one.

Trade Bait: Tejada to the Padres

July 30, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The Orioles are rebuilding and the Padres are…..well you thought they’d be rebuilding right now too.  But the Padres have been in the lead in the NL West for most of the summer and at times have had the best record in the National League.  Now they are looking to improve their chances at winning a National League pennant by trading for Miguel Tejada.

Tejada isn’t the star hitter he once was, but he should be a decent role-player and veteran presence for the team.  He’ll back up Chase Headley at third base and Everth Cabrera at short.  This will put Manager Bud Black into a quandary of deciding about sticking with a good defense at short and putting up with a .199 batting average, or going with lesser defense and a bit better stick.

In return the Orioles made out well by convincing Padres GM Jed Hoyer to give them pitching prospect Wynn Pelzer, ranked by John Sickels as the team’s 5th overall prospect heading into 2010.  Baseball America ranked Pelzer seventh.  He has a heavy mid-90s fastball, but his walk rate is pretty high.  A move to the pen could result in higher 90s on his fastball, allowing him to become a dominant closer.

This is a very good move by the Orioles.  As for the Padres, typically I would say this is going to hurt for a low-payroll team, but they seem to grow dominant relievers in PETCO Park like crabgrass in my back yard.

Trade Bait: Cantu to the Rangers

July 30, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

Since joining the Florida Marlins, Cantu has been a major run producer.  His resurgence in a Marlins uniform has helped a few Marlins teams to exceed expectations.  But this season he hasn’t hit that well and his trade stock has plummeted.  The Marlins aren’t that content to wait until next season to see if his trade value rebounds as they are trying to remake the roster.  With Cantu traded, they can bring in slick-hitting prospect Logan Morrison to play left field, shift Chris Coghlan to second (after he returns from the pie injury) and Dan Uggla to third base.

The Rangers get a veteran corner infielder that will likely hit better than existing first baseman Chris Davis (.188 BA) as they race towards the finish.  Hitting in a different league and in the hitter-friendly Ballpark at Arlington may help him offensively as well.

The Marlins get two pitching prospects for Cantu.  Omar Poveda is the better known prospect of the two, but he has never pitched all that well and has recently gone under the knife for Tommy John surgery.  With this lack of a quality fastball, it is unlikely that the Marlins will get much out of him.

Evan Reed is actually the better prospect of the two at this point.  After a brief try at starting, the Rangers put him in relief and never looked back.  He relies on a heavy, sinking fastball that gets strikeouts and ground balls.  Reed has the ability to be a good late-inning reliever for the Marlins.

As the Marlins were going to lose Cantu to free agency, without compensation, this trade looks especially good for the Marlins.  Cantu will have to really rebound to his previous hitting prowess these last couple months to equal the return.  

Trade Bait: Oswalt to Philly

July 29, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

UPDATE: The Astros have flipped Gose to the Toronto Blue Jays for Brett Wallace.  This makes the trade look a better as Wallace could become a Berkman replacement.  He’s turned into a good power bat this year and could eventually be a good anchor to the middle of the lineup.  Defensively, there’s some questions about him, even with his switch to first base.  But he should be able to stay there.

Interestingly, they are two TOTALLY different propsects, as defensively, offensively, and overall refinement.  But I do like the prospect-for-prospect trades.  This is Wallace’s second in this type of deal.  After being sent to Oakland in the Holliday deal, Wallace was traded again for Michael Taylor in a prospect-for-prospect deal.

The speculation on where Roy Oswalt will be traded to now can stop.  The Phillies in need of deepening their rotation for the stretch run, have brought in Oswalt to pitch behind another Roy, Halladay.  Roy has agreed to be shipped to the Philadelphia Phillies in exchange for three players. 

Months worth of speculation have gone into this trade as numerous team have been rumored to be in on the trade for some time.  Yet Oswalt has been picky as to where he wants to get traded to and whether or not the new team will be forced to pick up his 2012 option.  However, Oswalt approved of the deal to Philly anyway.

He’ll likely slot in between Halladay and Cole Hamels in the not-so-deep Phillies rotation.  With Jamie Moyer on the DL and Joe Blanton pitching horribly this season (though he does have a 3.60 ERA in the second half), Oswalt will be a much welcome addition to the rotation.

The first player coming to the Astros in the deal, pitcher J.A. Happ, is a lefty that had good success with the Phillies last season.  He posted a 2.96 ERA in 166 innings, obtaining a 12-4 record in the process.  He’s been out with an injury this season, but scouts have liked what they’ve seen in his return.  Though I highly doubt that he’ll be a sub-3.00 ERA pitcher over a full season again, Happ should be a good #4 starter, or passible #3 on a rebuilding team.

The Astros will also receive outfielder Anthony Gose in the deal.  Gose is a speedy outfielder with a strong arm that was taken by the Phillies in the second round of the 2008 draft.  He’s currently hitting .263/.325/.385 in High-A.  All of which are the “best” numbers he’s put up in his career, not exactly something to write home about.  His calling card is his speed as he stole 76 bases in A-ball last season and has 36 stolen bases this season.  However, he was caught 20 times last season and an appauling 27 times this season. 

The third player is outfielder Jonathan Villar, another speedy 19-year-old.  Ben Badler calls him a “SICK athlete with a cannon arm and good range”, calling him a solid prospect.  Defensively, scouts rave about the shortstop’s skills, but his 42 errors this season are quite ugly.  With the comments about his tools, those errors may be just due to inexperience and are likely to reduce as he ages and moves up through the system.  Offensively the statistics aren’t really tantalizing either as he is hitting .272/.332/.358 in A-ball this season.

Although both prospects are very raw, they are also young, so they could still develop into solid offensive contributors.  But I’m not sold on it.

When you take Oswalt’s trade demands and his contract out of the deal, the look horrendous for the Astros.  But considering those two impacting factors, the deal doesn’t look as bad.  Still, you’d think they’d get a little better prospects with the $11 million that they threw into the deal as well.

 

Oswalt had said a while ago that he wouldn’t leave the Astros unless the trade would make them a better team in the long run…..what happened to that thought?

Trade Bait: Pods in Dodger Blue

July 28, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The scuttlebutt for most of the afternoon was that the Los Angeles Dodgers were chasing after Scott Podsednik as the trade deadline approached.  The scuttlebutt became truth as Pods was sent to L.A. in exchange for two prospects.

Podsednik was signed by the Kansas City Royals this past off-season after a resurgent year with the Chicago White Sox.  It was a signing that was widely panned, including here at TBO.  But Scott broke out of the gate fast, hitting .350/.418/.375 in March/April.  He slowed down in May, but has been hitting even better in July (.366/.404/.505). 

Scott will get most of his at bats in left field, where he belongs, as a defensive replacement for Manny Ramirez.  His presence will also give Ramirez the chance to rest his sore hamstrings more often as well.

GM Dayton Moore and the Royals will receive catcher Lucas May and pitcher Elisaul Pimentel in the exchange.

May is a 25-year-old catcher at Triple-A hitting .296/.352/.496.  Albuquerque, and the PCL in general, is good for hitters.  But the line is relatively intriguing nonetheless.  I watched him in a game this season against his new team, the Omaha Royals.  He seemed to have an accurate arm, but he seemed to get fooled on off-speed pitches relatively easily that night.  A few different reports have him as a good back up catcher in the majors, but nothing more.

Pimentel is a 21-year-old righty in A-ball.  Is a fringy reliever with a low-90s fastball, a mediocre slider and an occational average change-up.  His statistics through the minors are all over the charts. 

They’ll bring up reliever Greg Holland to take Pods’ place on the roster.

Although neither player will become a regular on a big league roster, it is a decent pick up for the Royals as Podsednik isn’t exactly a difference maker outfielder.  May is the better prospect of the two and could see a decent amount of time in Kansas City eventually.

Ned Colletti didn’t do too bad either.  He gave up two players that weren’t likely to a chance in L.A. for a good fourth outfielder with a relatively decent $2 million option for 2011.

Trade Bait: Peralta the Tiger

July 28, 2010 · Filed Under Trade Bait · Comment 

The Detroit Tigers have been riddled by injuries recently and their hopes of chasing down the Twins and the White Sox seem to be fading.  At four games back of the AL Central lead, Dave Dombrowski felt it was time to make a move.  He acquired infielder Jhonny Peralta from the Indians in exchange for pitcher Giovanni Soto.

No, not Geovany Soto, the catcher for the Cubs, Giovanni Soto.

Peralta, who switched to third base a year ago, is hitting .246/.308/.389 on the season.  It’s not exactly the type of offensive contributor that the Tigers need, but at least it’s better than counting on the .204/.283/.283 hitting Scott Sizemore (.188 in July) at third base until Brandon Inge returns in mid-to-late August.  When he does return, Peralta may be able to shift to another position on the infield as the rest of the infield (outside of Cabrera and Santiago) is inexperienced and not exactly ripping the cover off the ball (outside of Cabrera).

The 19-year-old Soto has pitched the entire season at Class-A West Michigan.  He’s pitched 82.2 innings, giving up only 75 hits, while striking out 76.  Soto has a high-80s fastball, a decent curve as well as a change-up as his bread and butter pitches.  But Giovanni’s catcher says his arsenal is deeper than that, adding a sinker and a cutter to the repertoire of what he can deliver off of his basic fastball.   He has good command for a 19-year-old and should rise relatively fast through the system.  At 6′-3″, 155 lbs. Soto is bound to fill out some more as he gets older.  The Indians are hoping this will help get a few more MPH on his fastball, allowing him to remain a starter.

Although the Indians are picking up much Peralta’s remaining salary for the season, they received a pretty decent looking prospect for a third baseman with a sub-.400 slugging percentage.

I’ll have to go with ESPN’s Rob Neyer on this trade, “This will not go down as the greatest trade in Tigers history.”

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